Uruguay x Colombia Betting tips for November 16 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Uruguay x Colombia, Saturday, 16/11/2024

📅 16/11/2024 00:00

Uruguay 2.10

X 3.20

Colombia 3.63

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Uruguay x Colombia:

🔮 Uruguay wins the match
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The main points for the tip for Uruguay x Colombia: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Uruguay in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-383.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Colombia in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-180.0. 👉 Uruguay did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 4 Uruguay matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 5 Colombia matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Uruguay x Colombia, with Uruguay as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Colombia conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Looking for another bookie to bet on Uruguay x Colombia?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Uruguay x Colombia for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 16 of November

When the best bet on Uruguay x Colombia is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1221437 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Uruguay x Colombia

Is it a good idea to bet on Uruguay?

🔵 Uruguay: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 49.98% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 500 times – having a profit of $550.00;
• And would have lost other 500 times – with a loss of -$500.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$50.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $704.00;
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$24.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on Colombia worth it?

🔴 Colombia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.14% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.63. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 180 times – having a profit of $473.40;
• And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$346.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Uruguay x Colombia

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Uruguay
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Uruguay x Colombia

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Uruguay and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Uruguay.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Uruguay.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Uruguay x Colombia

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.