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Home » Predictions » Others » AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas Betting tips for November 16 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Saturday, 16 November 2024, 01h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
AD Guanacasteca AD Guanacasteca
PREDICTION AD Guanacasteca wins Probability 60% 1 X 2
Puntarenas Puntarenas
ODD: @1.9 Don't miss this prediction!

AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas Betting tips for November 16 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas, Saturday, 16/11/2024
📅 16/11/2024
01:00
AD Guanacasteca AD Guanacasteca
1.90
X
3.25
Puntarenas Puntarenas
3.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas:

🔮 AD Guanacasteca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AD Guanacasteca, you can win up to $950.00!

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The main points for the tip for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Guanacasteca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $685.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Puntarenas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $250.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, AD Guanacasteca scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Puntarenas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Puntarenas, AD Guanacasteca scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Puntarenas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 AD Guanacasteca is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 AD Guanacasteca has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Puntarenas playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 16 of November

🏟️ AD Guanacasteca X Puntarenas – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 16 of November, 2024 – 01:00
🔵 AD Guanacasteca – Winning probability: 60.49% | Fair line: 1.65
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 21.25% | Fair line: 4.71
🔴 Puntarenas – Winning probability: 18.26% | Fair line: 5.48
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AD Guanacasteca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AD Guanacasteca and Puntarenas.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1221437 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas

Is it worth betting on AD Guanacasteca?

🔵 AD Guanacasteca: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 60.49%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $540.00;
  • And would have lost other 400 times – with a loss of -$400.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$140.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 21.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $472.50;
  • And would lose other 790 times – losing -$790.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$317.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on Puntarenas?

🔴 Puntarenas: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $504.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$316.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 AD Guanacasteca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 AD Guanacasteca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 AD Guanacasteca.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Puntarenas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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