Peru x Chile Betting tips for November 16 in South America – World Cup Qualifying

Our betting tip for Peru x Chile, Saturday, 16/11/2024

📅 16/11/2024 01:30

Peru 2.48

X 3.06

Chile 2.89

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Peru x Chile:

🔮 Peru wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Peru, you can win up to $1240.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Peru x Chile: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Chile in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Chile did not score any goals in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 5 Peru matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Peru did not receive any yellow cards in the last 3 matches as the home team. 👉 Peru has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Chile playing at home.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Peru x Chile?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Peru x Chile for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 16 of November

When the best bet on Peru x Chile is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1221437 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Peru x Chile

Is it worth betting on Peru?

🔵 Peru: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 46.78%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.48. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 470 times – this would give you a profit of $695.60
• And would lose other 530 times – having a loss of -$530.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$165.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 31.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.06. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $659.20;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$20.80.

Is it worth betting on Chile?

🔴 Chile: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.89. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 210 times – having a profit of $396.90;
• And would have lost other 790 times – with a loss of -$790.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$393.10.

Handicaps analysis for the match Peru x Chile

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Peru
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Peru x Chile

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Peru, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Peru.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Peru.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Peru x Chile

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.