Alajuelense x Herediano Betting tips for November 20 in Costa Rica Primera Division
| 📅 20/11/2024 02:00 |
 Alajuelense1.80 |
X 3.32 |
Herediano  4.00 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Alajuelense x Herediano:
🔮 Alajuelense wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alajuelense, you can win up to $900.00!
|
Some important points for the tip for Alajuelense x Herediano: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Alajuelense in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-62.0. |
Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Alajuelense x Herediano?
Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:
Analysis from Alajuelense x Herediano for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 20 of November
|
🏟️ Alajuelense X Herediano – Costa Rica Primera Division |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Alajuelense and Herediano.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1222248 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Alajuelense x Herediano
Should you bet on Alajuelense?
🔵 Alajuelense: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 58.77% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $472.00;
- And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$62.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.56%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $603.20;
- And would lose other 740 times – losing -$740.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$136.80.
Is it worth betting on Herediano?
🔴 Herediano: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 15.67%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 160 times – profiting $480.00;
- And would lose other 840 times – losing -$840.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$360.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Alajuelense x Herediano
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Alajuelense
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Alajuelense x Herediano
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Alajuelense and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Alajuelense.
Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Alajuelense x Herediano
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.
