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Home » Predictions » Others » Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio Betting tips for November 17 in Uruguay Clausura
Sunday, 17 November 2024, 19h30 Uruguay Clausura
Racing Club de Montevideo Racing Club de Montevideo
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 40% 1 X 2
Danubio Danubio
ODD: @2.98 Don't miss this prediction!

Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio Betting tips for November 17 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio, Sunday, 17/11/2024
📅 17/11/2024
19:30
Racing Club de Montevideo Racing Club de Montevideo
2.32
X
2.98
Danubio Danubio
3.10

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1490.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Racing Club de Montevideo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-112.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Danubio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $5.0.
👉 Danubio did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 3 Danubio matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Racing Club de Montevideo conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Danubio.
👉 In the last 5 road matches, Danubio has not lost any of them.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio for the Uruguay Clausura – 17 of November

🏟️ Racing Club de Montevideo X Danubio – Uruguay Clausura
📅 17 of November, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Racing Club de Montevideo – Winning probability: 24.46% | Fair line: 4.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 40.38% | Fair line: 2.48
🔴 Danubio – Winning probability: 35.15% | Fair line: 2.84
⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Racing Club de Montevideo
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1222364 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio

Is betting on Racing Club de Montevideo worth it?

🔵 Racing Club de Montevideo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $316.80;
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$443.20.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 40.38% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.98. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $792.00;
  • And would have lost other 600 times – with a loss of -$600.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$192.00.

Should you bet on Danubio?

🔴 Danubio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 35.15%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 350 times – this would give you a profit of $735.00
  • And would have lost other 650 times – with a loss of -$650.00 because of them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$85.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Racing Club de Montevideo
⚽ Expected goals: 1.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Racing Club de Montevideo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Racing Club de Montevideo. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Racing Club de Montevideo x Danubio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 1.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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