Estudiantes Merida x Carabobo Betting tips for November 17 in Venezuela Primera Division

Our betting tip for Estudiantes Merida x Carabobo, Sunday, 17/11/2024

📅 17/11/2024 21:00

Estudiantes Merida 3.95

X 3.25

Carabobo 1.80

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Estudiantes Merida x Carabobo:

🔮 Estudiantes Merida wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Estudiantes Merida, you can win up to $1975.00!

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Important information for your tip for Estudiantes Merida x Carabobo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Estudiantes Merida in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $143.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Carabobo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0. 👉 In the last 4 Estudiantes Merida matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 Carabobo matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Estudiantes Merida x Carabobo, with Estudiantes Merida as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Carabobo has not lost any of them. 👉 Estudiantes Merida has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Carabobo playing at home.

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Analysis from Estudiantes Merida x Carabobo for the Venezuela Primera Division – 17 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Estudiantes Merida and Carabobo.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1222780 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Estudiantes Merida x Carabobo

Is betting on Estudiantes Merida worth it?

🔵 Estudiantes Merida: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 44.59% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $1327.50;
• And would lose other 550 times – having a loss of -$550.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$777.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.35%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 230 times – having a profit of $517.50;
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$252.50.

Is betting on Carabobo worth it?

🔴 Carabobo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 32.07%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 320 times – profiting $256.00;
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$424.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Estudiantes Merida x Carabobo

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Estudiantes Merida
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Estudiantes Merida x Carabobo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Estudiantes Merida, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Estudiantes Merida.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Estudiantes Merida.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Estudiantes Merida x Carabobo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.