Penarol x Defensor Sporting Betting tips for November 17 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Penarol x Defensor Sporting, Sunday, 17/11/2024

📅 17/11/2024 21:30

Penarol 1.45

X 3.90

Defensor Sporting 6.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Penarol x Defensor Sporting:

🔮 Penarol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Penarol, you can win up to $725.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Penarol x Defensor Sporting: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Penarol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $192.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Defensor Sporting in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-193.0. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Penarol scored at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Defensor Sporting scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Defensor Sporting, Penarol scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Defensor Sporting matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Penarol is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 In the last 6 road matches, Defensor Sporting has not lost any of them. 👉 Penarol has won all the last 3 matches playing at home against Defensor Sporting.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Penarol x Defensor Sporting?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Penarol x Defensor Sporting, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Penarol x Defensor Sporting for the Uruguay Clausura – 17 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Penarol and Defensor Sporting.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1222364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Penarol x Defensor Sporting

Should you bet on Penarol?

🔵 Penarol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 77.59%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 780 times – profiting $351.00;
• And would have lost other 220 times – with a loss of -$220.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$131.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $522.00;
• And would have lost other 820 times – with a loss of -$820.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$298.00.

Should you bet on Defensor Sporting?

🔴 Defensor Sporting: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.18% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 40 times – profiting $220.00;
• And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$740.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Penarol x Defensor Sporting

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Penarol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Penarol x Defensor Sporting

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Penarol and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Penarol.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.0 Defensor Sporting.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Penarol x Defensor Sporting

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.