Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin Betting tips for November 18 in Colombia Cup

Our betting tip for Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin, Monday, 18/11/2024

📅 18/11/2024 00:30

Independiente Medellin 2.17

X 3.00

Atletico Nacional Medellin 3.18

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin:

🔮 Independiente Medellin wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Independiente Medellin, you can win up to $1085.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Important information for your tip for Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Independiente Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $203.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Nacional Medellin in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $245.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, Independiente Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Atletico Nacional Medellin, Independiente Medellin scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Atletico Nacional Medellin matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Independiente Medellin is good playing home: it has 5 wins in a row in its last matches at home. 👉 Independiente Medellin has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Atletico Nacional Medellin playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin for the Colombia Cup – 18 of November

When the best bet on Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1222248 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin

Is it worth betting on Independiente Medellin?

🔵 Independiente Medellin: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 61.97% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.17. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 620 times – this would give you a profit of $725.40
• And would have lost other 380 times – with a loss of -$380.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$345.40.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $480.00;
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$280.00.

Is it worth betting on Atletico Nacional Medellin?

🔴 Atletico Nacional Medellin: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.18. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 140 times – this would give you a profit of $305.20
• And would have lost other 860 times – with a loss of -$860.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$554.80.

Handicaps analysis for the match Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Independiente Medellin
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Independiente Medellin and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Independiente Medellin.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Independiente Medellin.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Independiente Medellin x Atletico Nacional Medellin

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.