Clube da Aposta Clube da Aposta menu  
What would you like to find?
fundo 1
free bonus kenya betting
Home » Predictions » Others » Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo Betting tips for November 18 in Uruguay Clausura
Monday, 18 November 2024, 19h30 Uruguay Clausura
Club Atletico Progreso Club Atletico Progreso
PREDICTION Atletico Fenix Montevideo Wins Probability 41% 1 X 2
Atletico Fenix Montevideo Atletico Fenix Montevideo
ODD: @2.8 Don't miss this prediction!

Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo Betting tips for November 18 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo, Monday, 18/11/2024
📅 18/11/2024
19:30
Club Atletico Progreso Club Atletico Progreso
2.45
X
3.00
Atletico Fenix Montevideo Atletico Fenix Montevideo
2.80

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo:

🔮 Atletico Fenix Montevideo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Atletico Fenix Montevideo, you can win up to $1400.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Club Atletico Progreso in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico Fenix Montevideo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $180.0.
👉 Club Atletico Progreso did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 3 Club Atletico Progreso matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Atletico Fenix Montevideo conceded at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo?

Maybe you already have an account on Bet365, but that is not a problem! We, from the Clube da Aposta, have been on this business since 2010 and know which bookies are trustworthy or not. Check out our list of the best betting sites in Kenya from 2024, you just have to click and bet:

Analysis from Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo for the Uruguay Clausura – 18 of November

🏟️ Club Atletico Progreso X Atletico Fenix Montevideo – Uruguay Clausura
📅 18 of November, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Club Atletico Progreso – Winning probability: 32.03% | Fair line: 3.12
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 26.21% | Fair line: 3.82
🔴 Atletico Fenix Montevideo – Winning probability: 41.76% | Fair line: 2.39
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Club Atletico Progreso
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Club Atletico Progreso and Atletico Fenix Montevideo.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1222364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Is it worth betting on Club Atletico Progreso?

🔵 Club Atletico Progreso: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 32.03% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.45. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 320 times – having a profit of $464.00;
  • And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$216.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $520.00;
  • And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Is it worth betting on Atletico Fenix Montevideo?

🔴 Atletico Fenix Montevideo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.76% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 420 times – this would give you a profit of $756.00
  • And would lose other 580 times – losing -$580.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$176.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Club Atletico Progreso
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Club Atletico Progreso and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Club Atletico Progreso.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Atletico Fenix Montevideo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Club Atletico Progreso x Atletico Fenix Montevideo

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
Newsletter
Newsletter

Receba o melhor conteúdo sobre Apostas Esportivas On-line direto na sua caixa de email

There is a problem with this PHP insert: missing both parameters