Bulgaria x Belarus Betting tips for November 18 in UEFA Nations League C
| 📅 18/11/2024 19:45 |
 Bulgaria1.67 |
X 3.60 |
Belarus  5.20 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Bulgaria x Belarus:
🔮 Bulgaria wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bulgaria, you can win up to $835.00!
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Important information for your tip for Bulgaria x Belarus: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Bulgaria in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-63.0. |
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Analysis from Bulgaria x Belarus for the UEFA Nations League C – 18 of November
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🏟️ Bulgaria X Belarus – UEFA Nations League C |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Bulgaria and Belarus.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1222364 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bulgaria x Belarus
Should you bet on Bulgaria?
🔵 Bulgaria: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 76.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.67. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 770 times – profiting $515.90;
- And would have lost other 230 times – with a loss of -$230.00 because of them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$285.90.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.51% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 160 times – having a profit of $416.00;
- And would have lost other 840 times – with a loss of -$840.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$424.00.
Is betting on Belarus worth it?
🔴 Belarus: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.71%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 80 times – this would give you a profit of $336.00
- And would have lost other 920 times – with a loss of -$920.00 because of them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$584.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bulgaria x Belarus
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Bulgaria
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bulgaria x Belarus
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Bulgaria, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Bulgaria.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.75 Belarus.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bulgaria x Belarus
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.
