Cerro x Boston River Betting tips for November 18 in Uruguay Clausura

Our betting tip for Cerro x Boston River, Monday, 18/11/2024

📅 18/11/2024 22:00

Cerro 3.50

X 3.13

Boston River 2.00

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Cerro x Boston River:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Cerro x Boston River

Some important points for the tip for Cerro x Boston River: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Cerro in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Boston River in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $231.0. 👉 In the last 3 Cerro matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 Boston River matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Cerro conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Boston River.

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Cerro x Boston River?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Cerro x Boston River for the Uruguay Clausura – 18 of November

When the best bet on Cerro x Boston River is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1222364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Cerro x Boston River

Is it worth betting on Cerro?

🔵 Cerro: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 26.33%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 260 times – profiting $650.00;
• And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$90.00.

Should you bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.79% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.13. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $660.30
• And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$29.70.

Is it worth betting on Boston River?

🔴 Boston River: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 42.89% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – this would give you a profit of $430.00
• And would have lost other 570 times – with a loss of -$570.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$140.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Cerro x Boston River

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Cerro
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Cerro x Boston River

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Cerro and the available handicap to bet at the moment is +0.25 Cerro.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Cerro x Boston River

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.