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Home » Predictions » Others » Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield Betting tips for November 26 in England Northern Premier League
Tuesday, 26 November 2024, 19h45 England Northern Premier League
Mickleover Sports Mickleover Sports
PREDICTION Macclesfield Wins Probability 78% 1 X 2
Macclesfield Macclesfield
ODD: @1.35 Don't miss this prediction!

Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield Betting tips for November 26 in England Northern Premier League

Our betting tip for Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield, Tuesday, 26/11/2024
📅 26/11/2024
19:45
Mickleover Sports Mickleover Sports
6.50
X
4.57
Macclesfield Macclesfield
1.35

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield:

🔮 Macclesfield wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Macclesfield, you can win up to $675.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mickleover Sports in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-317.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Macclesfield in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-58.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Macclesfield scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Macclesfield matches as the away team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Macclesfield conceded at least 2 goal(s).

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield for the England Northern Premier League – 26 of November

🏟️ Mickleover Sports X Macclesfield – England Northern Premier League
📅 26 of November, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Mickleover Sports – Winning probability: 11.02% | Fair line: 9.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.23% | Fair line: 9.77
🔴 Macclesfield – Winning probability: 78.74% | Fair line: 1.27
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Mickleover Sports
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225887 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield

Should you bet on Mickleover Sports?

🔵 Mickleover Sports: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 11.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – profiting $605.00;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$285.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 10.23% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – profiting $357.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$543.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Macclesfield?

🔴 Macclesfield: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 78.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.35. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 790 times – this would give you a profit of $276.50
  • And would lose other 210 times – having a loss of -$210.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$66.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.75 Mickleover Sports
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.75 Mickleover Sports, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Mickleover Sports.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +1.25 Mickleover Sports.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mickleover Sports x Macclesfield

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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