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Home » Predictions » Others » Oxford City x Alfreton Town Betting tips for November 19 in England National League North
Tuesday, 19 November 2024, 19h45 England National League North
Oxford City Oxford City
PREDICTION Alfreton Town Wins Probability 47% 1 X 2
Alfreton Town Alfreton Town
ODD: @2.25 Don't miss this prediction!

Oxford City x Alfreton Town Betting tips for November 19 in England National League North

Our betting tip for Oxford City x Alfreton Town, Tuesday, 19/11/2024
📅 19/11/2024
19:45
Oxford City Oxford City
2.88
X
3.25
Alfreton Town Alfreton Town
2.25

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Oxford City x Alfreton Town:

🔮 Alfreton Town wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Alfreton Town, you can win up to $1125.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Oxford City x Alfreton Town:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Oxford City in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-310.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Alfreton Town in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $330.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Oxford City scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Alfreton Town scored at least 1 goal(s).

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Summary

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Analysis from Oxford City x Alfreton Town for the England National League North – 19 of November

🏟️ Oxford City X Alfreton Town – England National League North
📅 19 of November, 2024 – 19:45
🔵 Oxford City – Winning probability: 22.89% | Fair line: 4.37
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 29.32% | Fair line: 3.41
🔴 Alfreton Town – Winning probability: 47.80% | Fair line: 2.09
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Oxford City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Oxford City and Alfreton Town.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1223927 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Oxford City x Alfreton Town

Is betting on Oxford City worth it?

🔵 Oxford City: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 22.89%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.88. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $432.40
  • And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$337.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 29.32% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 290 times – having a profit of $652.50;
  • And would have lost other 710 times – with a loss of -$710.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$57.50.

Is it worth betting on Alfreton Town?

🔴 Alfreton Town: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
  • And would lose other 520 times – having a loss of -$520.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$80.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match Oxford City x Alfreton Town

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Oxford City
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Oxford City x Alfreton Town

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Oxford City, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Oxford City.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Alfreton Town.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Oxford City x Alfreton Town

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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