Bolivia x Paraguay Betting tips for November 19 in South America – World Cup Qualifying
| 📅 19/11/2024 20:00 |
 Bolivia1.67 |
X 3.64 |
Paraguay  5.10 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Bolivia x Paraguay:
🔮 Bolivia wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Bolivia, you can win up to $835.00!
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The main points for the tip for Bolivia x Paraguay: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Paraguay in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. |
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Analysis from Bolivia x Paraguay for the South America – World Cup Qualifying – 19 of November
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🏟️ Bolivia X Paraguay – South America – World Cup Qualifying |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Bolivia x Paraguay right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1223927 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Bolivia x Paraguay
Is it worth betting on Bolivia?
🔵 Bolivia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 73.56% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.67. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 740 times – profiting $495.80;
- And would lose other 260 times – losing -$260.00 with them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$235.80.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.64. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $501.60;
- And would lose other 810 times – having a loss of -$810.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$308.40.
Is it worth betting on Paraguay?
🔴 Paraguay: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 7.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $287.00
- And would have lost other 930 times – with a loss of -$930.00 because of them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$643.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Bolivia x Paraguay
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Bolivia
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Bolivia x Paraguay
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Bolivia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Bolivia.
The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Bolivia x Paraguay
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
