Newells x Central Cordoba Betting tips for November 20 in Argentina Liga Profesional
| 📅 20/11/2024 20:00 |
 Newells2.15 |
X 3.02 |
Central Cordoba  3.58 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Newells x Central Cordoba:
🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for Newells x Central Cordoba: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Newells in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-35.0. |
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Analysis from Newells x Central Cordoba for the Argentina Liga Profesional – 20 of November
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🏟️ Newells X Central Cordoba – Argentina Liga Profesional |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Newells and Central Cordoba.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1224026 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Newells x Central Cordoba
Is it worth betting on Newells?
🔵 Newells: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.84% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.15. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 460 times – profiting $529.00;
- And would lose other 540 times – losing -$540.00 with them.
Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just 💰$11.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.
Is it worth betting on draw?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.96% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.02. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $686.80;
- And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$26.80.
Is betting on Central Cordoba worth it?
🔴 Central Cordoba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 20.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.58. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 200 times – profiting $516.00;
- And would lose other 800 times – having a loss of -$800.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$284.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Newells x Central Cordoba
The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Newells
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newells x Central Cordoba
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Newells and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Newells.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Newells.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newells x Central Cordoba
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.
