Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto Betting tips for November 20 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto, Wednesday, 20/11/2024

📅 20/11/2024 23:30

Millonarios 1.61

X 3.31

Deportivo Pasto 5.50

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto:

🔮 Millonarios wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Millonarios, you can win up to $805.00!

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Important information for your tip for Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Millonarios in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-25.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportivo Pasto in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-295.0. 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Deportivo Pasto, Millonarios scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto, with Millonarios as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Millonarios has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Deportivo Pasto playing at home.

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Analysis from Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto for the Colombia Primera A – 20 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1223927 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto

Is it a good idea to bet on Millonarios?

🔵 Millonarios: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 75.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.61. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 750 times – this would give you a profit of $457.50
• And would lose other 250 times – losing -$250.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$207.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 18.46%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.31. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 180 times – profiting $415.80;
• And would lose other 820 times – having a loss of -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$404.20.

Is betting on Deportivo Pasto worth it?

🔴 Deportivo Pasto: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 6.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 60 times – profiting $270.00;
• And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$670.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Millonarios
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Millonarios, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Millonarios. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Millonarios x Deportivo Pasto

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.