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Home » Predictions » AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas Betting tips for November 21 in Costa Rica Primera Division
Thursday, 21 November 2024, 01h00 Costa Rica Primera Division
AD Guanacasteca AD Guanacasteca
PREDICTION AD Guanacasteca wins Probability 52% 1 X 2
Puntarenas Puntarenas
ODD: @2.02 Don't miss this prediction!

AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas Betting tips for November 21 in Costa Rica Primera Division

Our betting tip for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas, Thursday, 21/11/2024
📅 21/11/2024
01:00
AD Guanacasteca AD Guanacasteca
2.02
X
3.22
Puntarenas Puntarenas
3.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas:

🔮 AD Guanacasteca wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AD Guanacasteca, you can win up to $1010.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas:

👉 If you had bet $100 on AD Guanacasteca in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $685.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Puntarenas in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $250.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, AD Guanacasteca scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Puntarenas scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Puntarenas, AD Guanacasteca scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Puntarenas conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 AD Guanacasteca is good playing home: it has 6 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 AD Guanacasteca has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Puntarenas playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas for the Costa Rica Primera Division – 21 of November

🏟️ AD Guanacasteca X Puntarenas – Costa Rica Primera Division
📅 21 of November, 2024 – 01:00
🔵 AD Guanacasteca – Winning probability: 52.90% | Fair line: 1.89
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.21% | Fair line: 4.13
🔴 Puntarenas – Winning probability: 22.89% | Fair line: 4.37
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AD Guanacasteca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between AD Guanacasteca and Puntarenas.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1223927 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas

Is it a good idea to bet on AD Guanacasteca?

🔵 AD Guanacasteca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.9% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.02. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 530 times – profiting $540.60;
  • And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$70.60.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $532.80;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$227.20.

Is it worth betting on Puntarenas?

🔴 Puntarenas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 230 times – profiting $575.00;
  • And would lose other 770 times – having a loss of -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$195.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 AD Guanacasteca
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 AD Guanacasteca and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 AD Guanacasteca.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Puntarenas.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for AD Guanacasteca x Puntarenas

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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