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Home » Predictions » Others » PFC Sochi x FC Ufa Betting tips for November 22 in Russia Division 1
Friday, 22 November 2024, 14h00 Russia Division 1
PFC Sochi PFC Sochi
PREDICTION PFC Sochi wins Probability 81% 1 X 2
FC Ufa FC Ufa
ODD: @1.38 Don't miss this prediction!

PFC Sochi x FC Ufa Betting tips for November 22 in Russia Division 1

Our betting tip for PFC Sochi x FC Ufa, Friday, 22/11/2024
📅 22/11/2024
14:00
PFC Sochi PFC Sochi
1.38
X
4.03
FC Ufa FC Ufa
6.45

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for PFC Sochi x FC Ufa:

🔮 PFC Sochi wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on PFC Sochi, you can win up to $690.00!

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Important information for your tip for PFC Sochi x FC Ufa:

👉 If you had bet $100 on PFC Sochi in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $108.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Ufa in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 FC Ufa did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team, PFC Sochi scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 FC Ufa matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 PFC Sochi has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against FC Ufa playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from PFC Sochi x FC Ufa for the Russia Division 1 – 22 of November

🏟️ PFC Sochi X FC Ufa – Russia Division 1
📅 22 of November, 2024 – 14:00
🔵 PFC Sochi – Winning probability: 81.35% | Fair line: 1.23
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.48% | Fair line: 6.9
🔴 FC Ufa – Winning probability: 4.16% | Fair line: 24.03
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 PFC Sochi
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on PFC Sochi x FC Ufa is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225519 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for PFC Sochi x FC Ufa

Should you bet on PFC Sochi?

🔵 PFC Sochi: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 81.35% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.38. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 810 times – profiting $307.80;
  • And would lose other 190 times – losing -$190.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$117.80.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 14.48% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.03. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $424.20;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$435.80.

Should you bet on FC Ufa?

🔴 FC Ufa: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $218.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$742.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match PFC Sochi x FC Ufa

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 PFC Sochi
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for PFC Sochi x FC Ufa

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 PFC Sochi, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 PFC Sochi.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 PFC Sochi.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for PFC Sochi x FC Ufa

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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