Perugia x Arezzo Betting tips for November 22 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Perugia x Arezzo, Friday, 22/11/2024

📅 22/11/2024 19:30

Perugia 2.47

X 3.10

Arezzo 2.67

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Perugia x Arezzo:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Perugia x Arezzo

Some important points for the tip for Perugia x Arezzo: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Perugia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-275.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Arezzo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $333.0. 👉 Perugia did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Arezzo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Perugia matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.

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Analysis from Perugia x Arezzo for the Italy Serie C Group B – 22 of November

When the best bet on Perugia x Arezzo is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225593 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Perugia x Arezzo

Should you bet on Perugia?

🔵 Perugia: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 37.17% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.47. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 370 times – profiting $543.90;
• And would lose other 630 times – having a loss of -$630.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$86.10.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.25%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $651.00
• And would have lost other 690 times – with a loss of -$690.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$39.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Arezzo?

🔴 Arezzo: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.67. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $534.40
• And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$145.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Perugia x Arezzo

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Perugia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Perugia x Arezzo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Perugia, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Perugia.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Perugia.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Perugia x Arezzo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.