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Home » Predictions » Others » NK Domzale x NK Nafta 1903 Betting tips for November 23 in Slovenia Prva Liga
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 16h30 Slovenia Prva Liga
NK Domzale NK Domzale
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 34% 1 X 2
NK Nafta 1903 NK Nafta 1903
ODD: @3.2 Don't miss this prediction!

NK Domzale x NK Nafta 1903 Betting tips for November 23 in Slovenia Prva Liga

Our betting tip for NK Domzale x NK Nafta 1903, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
16:30
NK Domzale NK Domzale
2.30
X
3.20
NK Nafta 1903 NK Nafta 1903
2.79

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for NK Domzale x NK Nafta 1903:

🔮 Tied Match
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The main points for the tip for NK Domzale x NK Nafta 1903:

👉 If you had bet $100 on NK Domzale in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.

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Summary

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Analysis from NK Domzale x NK Nafta 1903 for the Slovenia Prva Liga – 23 of November

🏟️ NK Domzale X NK Nafta 1903 – Slovenia Prva Liga
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 NK Domzale – Winning probability: 31.92% | Fair line: 3.13
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 34.30% | Fair line: 2.92
🔴 NK Nafta 1903 – Winning probability: 33.78% | Fair line: 2.96
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 NK Domzale
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between NK Domzale and NK Nafta 1903.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225929 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for NK Domzale x NK Nafta 1903

Is it a good idea to bet on NK Domzale?

🔵 NK Domzale: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 31.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 320 times – profiting $416.00;
  • And would lose other 680 times – having a loss of -$680.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$264.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 34.3% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 340 times – this would give you a profit of $748.00
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$88.00.

Is it worth betting on NK Nafta 1903?

🔴 NK Nafta 1903: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 33.78% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.79. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 340 times – having a profit of $608.60;
  • And would lose other 660 times – having a loss of -$660.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$51.40.

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Handicaps analysis for the match NK Domzale x NK Nafta 1903

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 NK Domzale
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for NK Domzale x NK Nafta 1903

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.5 NK Domzale and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 NK Domzale.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.25 NK Nafta 1903.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for NK Domzale x NK Nafta 1903

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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