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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» OFK Beograd x Mladost Lucani Betting tips for November 24 in Serbia Super Liga
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 13h00 Serbia Super Liga
OFK Beograd OFK Beograd
PREDICTION No tip
Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani
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OFK Beograd x Mladost Lucani Betting tips for November 24 in Serbia Super Liga

Our betting tip for OFK Beograd x Mladost Lucani, Sunday, 24/11/2024
πŸ“… 24/11/2024
13:00
OFK Beograd OFK Beograd
1.80
X
3.32
Mladost Lucani Mladost Lucani
4.00

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for OFK Beograd x Mladost Lucani:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for OFK Beograd x Mladost Lucani

The main points for the tip for OFK Beograd x Mladost Lucani:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on OFK Beograd in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $110.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Mladost Lucani in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $190.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Mladost Lucani matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, OFK Beograd conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 road matches, Mladost Lucani has not lost any of them.

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Summary

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Analysis from OFK Beograd x Mladost Lucani for the Serbia Super Liga – 24 of November

🏟️ OFK Beograd X Mladost Lucani – Serbia Super Liga
πŸ“… 24 of November, 2024 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ OFK Beograd – Winning probability: 56.93% | Fair line: 1.76
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.16% | Fair line: 3.97
πŸ”΄ Mladost Lucani – Winning probability: 17.91% | Fair line: 5.58
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 OFK Beograd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for OFK Beograd x Mladost Lucani right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for OFK Beograd x Mladost Lucani

Is it a good idea to bet on OFK Beograd?

πŸ”΅ OFK Beograd: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 56.93% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.80. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 570 times – this would give you a profit of $456.00
  • And would have lost other 430 times – with a loss of -$430.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$26.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.16%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.32. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $580.00;
  • And would have lost other 750 times – with a loss of -$750.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$170.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Mladost Lucani?

πŸ”΄ Mladost Lucani: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 17.91%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – this would give you a profit of $540.00
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$280.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match OFK Beograd x Mladost Lucani

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.25 OFK Beograd
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for OFK Beograd x Mladost Lucani

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 OFK Beograd and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 OFK Beograd.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Mladost Lucani.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for OFK Beograd x Mladost Lucani

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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