Kitara FC x UPDF FC Betting tips for November 22 in Uganda Premier League
π
22/11/2024 13:00 |
Kitara FC 2.10 |
X 3.00 |
UPDF FC 3.22 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Kitara FC x UPDF FC:
π Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Kitara FC x UPDF FC
Important information for your tip for Kitara FC x UPDF FC: π If you had bet $100 on Kitara FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Kitara FC x UPDF FC for the Uganda Premier League – 22 of November
ποΈ Kitara FC X UPDF FC – Uganda Premier League |
When the best bet on Kitara FC x UPDF FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225519 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Kitara FC x UPDF FC
Should you bet on Kitara FC?
π΅ Kitara FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
- And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.
Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just π°$134.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.
Is betting on draw worth it?
βͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 270 times – profiting $540.00;
- And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of π°-$190.00.
Should you bet on UPDF FC?
π΄ UPDF FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 190 times – profiting $421.80;
- And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of π°-$388.20.
Handicaps analysis for the match Kitara FC x UPDF FC
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:
β Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Kitara FC
β½ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kitara FC x UPDF FC
β Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Kitara FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Kitara FC.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Kitara FC.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kitara FC x UPDF FC
β½ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.