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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Kitara FC x UPDF FC Betting tips for November 22 in Uganda Premier League
Friday, 22 November 2024, 13h00 Uganda Premier League
Kitara FC Kitara FC
PREDICTION No tip
UPDF FC UPDF FC
Don't miss this prediction!

Kitara FC x UPDF FC Betting tips for November 22 in Uganda Premier League

Our betting tip for Kitara FC x UPDF FC, Friday, 22/11/2024
πŸ“… 22/11/2024
13:00
Kitara FC Kitara FC
2.10
X
3.00
UPDF FC UPDF FC
3.22

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Kitara FC x UPDF FC:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Kitara FC x UPDF FC

Important information for your tip for Kitara FC x UPDF FC:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kitara FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
πŸ‘‰ UPDF FC did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 matches as the home team against UPDF FC, Kitara FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 6 matches as the home team, Kitara FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ It is not a good time for Kitara FC as home team: it comes from 6 losses in a row in its last home matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Kitara FC x UPDF FC for the Uganda Premier League – 22 of November

🏟️ Kitara FC X UPDF FC – Uganda Premier League
πŸ“… 22 of November, 2024 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Kitara FC – Winning probability: 53.74% | Fair line: 1.86
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 27.33% | Fair line: 3.66
πŸ”΄ UPDF FC – Winning probability: 18.93% | Fair line: 5.28
βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Kitara FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Kitara FC x UPDF FC is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225519 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Kitara FC x UPDF FC

Should you bet on Kitara FC?

πŸ”΅ Kitara FC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 53.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.10. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 540 times – this would give you a profit of $594.00
  • And would lose other 460 times – having a loss of -$460.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$134.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is betting on draw worth it?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.33% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $540.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of πŸ’°-$190.00.

Should you bet on UPDF FC?

πŸ”΄ UPDF FC: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.22. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $421.80;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$388.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kitara FC x UPDF FC

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Kitara FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kitara FC x UPDF FC

βš– Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Kitara FC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Kitara FC.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Kitara FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kitara FC x UPDF FC

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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