Pamba SC x Simba Sports Club Betting tips for November 22 in Tanzania Premier League
| 📅 22/11/2024 13:15 |
 Pamba SC10.29 |
X 4.78 |
Simba Sports Club  1.25 |
This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Pamba SC x Simba Sports Club:
🔮 Simba Sports Club wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Simba Sports Club, you can win up to $625.00!
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The main points for the tip for Pamba SC x Simba Sports Club: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Pamba SC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500. |
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Analysis from Pamba SC x Simba Sports Club for the Tanzania Premier League – 22 of November
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🏟️ Pamba SC X Simba Sports Club – Tanzania Premier League |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Pamba SC and Simba Sports Club.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225593 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Pamba SC x Simba Sports Club
Is betting on Pamba SC worth it?
🔵 Pamba SC: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 0.47% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 10.29. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 0 times – profiting $0.00;
- And would lose other 1000 times – having a loss of -$1000.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$1000.00.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 6.87% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.78. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 70 times – this would give you a profit of $264.60
- And would lose other 930 times – losing -$930.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$665.40.
Is betting on Simba Sports Club worth it?
🔴 Simba Sports Club: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 92.66% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.25. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 930 times – this would give you a profit of $232.50
- And would lose other 70 times – having a loss of -$70.00 with them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$162.50.
Handicaps analysis for the match Pamba SC x Simba Sports Club
Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.5 Pamba SC
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pamba SC x Simba Sports Club
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.5 Pamba SC, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.5 Pamba SC.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pamba SC x Simba Sports Club
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.
