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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Kedah x Kuala Lumpur City Betting tips for November 22 in Malaysia Cup
Friday, 22 November 2024, 13h00 Malaysia Cup
Kedah Kedah
PREDICTION No tip
Kuala Lumpur City Kuala Lumpur City
Don't miss this prediction!

Kedah x Kuala Lumpur City Betting tips for November 22 in Malaysia Cup

Our betting tip for Kedah x Kuala Lumpur City, Friday, 22/11/2024
πŸ“… 22/11/2024
13:00
Kedah Kedah
2.38
X
3.40
Kuala Lumpur City Kuala Lumpur City
2.50

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Kedah x Kuala Lumpur City:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Kedah x Kuala Lumpur City

Important information for your tip for Kedah x Kuala Lumpur City:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kedah in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-200.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Kuala Lumpur City in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-175.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the home team against Kuala Lumpur City, Kedah scored at least 2 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 Kedah matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Kedah x Kuala Lumpur City, with Kedah as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the away team, Kuala Lumpur City conceded at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Playing as the home team, Kedah conceded at least 2 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against Kuala Lumpur City.

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Summary

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Analysis from Kedah x Kuala Lumpur City for the Malaysia Cup – 22 of November

🏟️ Kedah X Kuala Lumpur City – Malaysia Cup
πŸ“… 22 of November, 2024 – 13:00
πŸ”΅ Kedah – Winning probability: 32.95% | Fair line: 3.03
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 25.73% | Fair line: 3.89
πŸ”΄ Kuala Lumpur City – Winning probability: 41.32% | Fair line: 2.42
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Kedah
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Kedah x Kuala Lumpur City right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1225593 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Kedah x Kuala Lumpur City

Should you bet on Kedah?

πŸ”΅ Kedah: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.95% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 330 times – this would give you a profit of $455.40
  • And would have lost other 670 times – with a loss of -$670.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$214.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 25.73% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.40. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $624.00;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$116.00.

Is betting on Kuala Lumpur City worth it?

πŸ”΄ Kuala Lumpur City: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 41.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 410 times – this would give you a profit of $615.00
  • And would lose other 590 times – losing -$590.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just πŸ’°$25.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Kedah x Kuala Lumpur City

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Kedah
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Kedah x Kuala Lumpur City

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Kedah and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Kedah. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Kedah x Kuala Lumpur City

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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