Potenza x Monopoli Betting tips for November 23 in Italy Serie C Group C

Our betting tip for Potenza x Monopoli, Saturday, 23/11/2024

📅 23/11/2024 16:30

Potenza 2.25

X 3.00

Monopoli 3.08

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Potenza x Monopoli:

👎 Unfortunately, we did not find any positive expected value bets for Potenza x Monopoli

Some important points for the tip for Potenza x Monopoli: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Potenza in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-333.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Monopoli in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-30.0. 👉 Monopoli did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 6 Monopoli matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 4 road matches, Monopoli has not lost any of them.

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Analysis from Potenza x Monopoli for the Italy Serie C Group C – 23 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Potenza x Monopoli right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Potenza x Monopoli

Is it a good idea to bet on Potenza?

🔵 Potenza: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 42.79% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – profiting $537.50;
• And would lose other 570 times – having a loss of -$570.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$32.50.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.46% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $600.00
• And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Monopoli?

🔴 Monopoli: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 26.75% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.08. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 270 times – profiting $561.60;
• And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$168.40.

Handicaps analysis for the match Potenza x Monopoli

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Potenza
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Potenza x Monopoli

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Potenza, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Potenza.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Potenza x Monopoli

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.