Spal x Torres Betting tips for November 23 in Italy Serie C Group B
| 📅 23/11/2024 16:30 |
 Spal2.60 |
X 3.20 |
Torres  2.39 |
This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Spal x Torres:
🔮 Torres wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Torres, you can win up to $1195.00!
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Important information for your tip for Spal x Torres: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Spal in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-150.0. |
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Analysis from Spal x Torres for the Italy Serie C Group B – 23 of November
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🏟️ Spal X Torres – Italy Serie C Group B |
When the best bet on Spal x Torres is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Spal x Torres
Is it a good idea to bet on Spal?
🔵 Spal: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 21.54% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 220 times – having a profit of $352.00;
- And would lose other 780 times – losing -$780.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$428.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.8% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.20. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 250 times – having a profit of $550.00;
- And would lose other 750 times – losing -$750.00 with them.
So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$200.00.
Is it worth betting on Torres?
🔴 Torres: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 53.65% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.39. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $750.60;
- And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.
So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$290.60.
Handicaps analysis for the match Spal x Torres
Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Spal
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Spal x Torres
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Spal, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Spal.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Torres.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Spal x Torres
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
