Lecco x Padova Betting tips for November 23 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for Lecco x Padova, Saturday, 23/11/2024

📅 23/11/2024 16:30

Lecco 4.45

X 3.25

Padova 1.77

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lecco x Padova:

👎 Umm…too bad! We did not find any positive expected value bets for Lecco x Padova

The main points for the tip for Lecco x Padova: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecco in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $53.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Padova in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $182.0. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Lecco scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Padova scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 Lecco matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 7 road matches, Padova has not lost any of them.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Lecco x Padova?

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Analysis from Lecco x Padova for the Italy Serie C Group A – 23 of November

When the best bet on Lecco x Padova is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225929 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lecco x Padova

Is it worth betting on Lecco?

🔵 Lecco: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 25.79%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.45. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $897.00;
• And would lose other 740 times – having a loss of -$740.00 with them.

Although this bet has some value, notice that the expected profit is just 💰$157.00, which is not worth the risk in our point of view.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 22.5% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 220 times – this would give you a profit of $495.00
• And would lose other 780 times – having a loss of -$780.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$285.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Padova?

🔴 Padova: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 51.72% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.77. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 520 times – profiting $400.40;
• And would have lost other 480 times – with a loss of -$480.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$79.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Lecco x Padova

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Lecco
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lecco x Padova

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Lecco, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Lecco.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.75 Lecco.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lecco x Padova

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.