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Home » Predictions » Others » Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo Betting tips for November 23 in Italy Serie C Group A
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 16h30 Italy Serie C Group A
Lumezzane Lumezzane
PREDICTION AC Feralpisalo Wins Probability 64% 1 X 2
AC Feralpisalo AC Feralpisalo
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo Betting tips for November 23 in Italy Serie C Group A

Our betting tip for Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
16:30
Lumezzane Lumezzane
3.20
X
3.25
AC Feralpisalo AC Feralpisalo
1.95

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo:

🔮 AC Feralpisalo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on AC Feralpisalo, you can win up to $975.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lumezzane in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $10.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on AC Feralpisalo in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-309.0.
👉 In the last 3 Lumezzane matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Playing as the home team, Lumezzane conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against AC Feralpisalo.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo for the Italy Serie C Group A – 23 of November

🏟️ Lumezzane X AC Feralpisalo – Italy Serie C Group A
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 16:30
🔵 Lumezzane – Winning probability: 12.26% | Fair line: 8.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 23.59% | Fair line: 4.24
🔴 AC Feralpisalo – Winning probability: 64.16% | Fair line: 1.56
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Lumezzane
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225516 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo

Is it worth betting on Lumezzane?

🔵 Lumezzane: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 12.26%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $264.00
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$616.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 23.59% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – profiting $540.00;
  • And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$220.00.

Is betting on AC Feralpisalo worth it?

🔴 AC Feralpisalo: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 64.16% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 640 times – profiting $608.00;
  • And would have lost other 360 times – with a loss of -$360.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$248.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.5 Lumezzane
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.5 Lumezzane, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.25 Lumezzane.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 AC Feralpisalo.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lumezzane x AC Feralpisalo

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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