Merida x CF Intercity Betting tips for November 23 in Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2

Our betting tip for Merida x CF Intercity, Saturday, 23/11/2024

📅 23/11/2024 16:30

Merida 1.99

X 3.00

CF Intercity 3.60

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Merida x CF Intercity:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Merida x CF Intercity

Some important points for the tip for Merida x CF Intercity: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Merida in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-230.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on CF Intercity in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, Merida scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Merida conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Analysis from Merida x CF Intercity for the Spain Primera Division RFEF Group 2 – 23 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Merida and CF Intercity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225593 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Merida x CF Intercity

Is it worth betting on Merida?

🔵 Merida: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 45.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.99. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 450 times – this would give you a profit of $445.50
• And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 32.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 320 times – this would give you a profit of $640.00
• And would have lost other 680 times – with a loss of -$680.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$40.00.

Should you bet on CF Intercity?

🔴 CF Intercity: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 22.57% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.60. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would hit 230 times – this would give you a profit of $598.00
• And would lose other 770 times – losing -$770.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$172.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Merida x CF Intercity

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Merida
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Merida x CF Intercity

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 0.0 Merida, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Merida.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 CF Intercity.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Merida x CF Intercity

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.