Las Palmas x Mallorca Betting tips for November 23 in Spain La Liga
| 📅 23/11/2024 17:30 |
 Las Palmas2.87 |
X 2.95 |
Mallorca  2.65 |
This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Las Palmas x Mallorca:
🔮 Las Palmas wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Las Palmas, you can win up to $1435.00!
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The main points for the tip for Las Palmas x Mallorca: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Las Palmas in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-220.0. |
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Analysis from Las Palmas x Mallorca for the Spain La Liga – 23 of November
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🏟️ Las Palmas X Mallorca – Spain La Liga |
Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Las Palmas x Mallorca right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.
To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225593 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Las Palmas x Mallorca
Is it worth betting on Las Palmas?
🔵 Las Palmas: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 44.89% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.87. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 450 times – having a profit of $841.50;
- And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$291.50.
Should you bet on draw?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.95. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – this would give you a profit of $546.00
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$174.00.
Is betting on Mallorca worth it?
🔴 Mallorca: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 27.53% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.65. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would hit 280 times – profiting $462.00;
- And would lose other 720 times – having a loss of -$720.00 with them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$258.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Las Palmas x Mallorca
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.
These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Las Palmas
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Las Palmas x Mallorca
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.5 Las Palmas, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 0.0 Las Palmas.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.0 Las Palmas.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Las Palmas x Mallorca
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.
