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Home Β» Predictions Β» Copa Sulamericana Β» Racing Club x Cruzeiro Betting tips for November 23 in Copa Sudamericana
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 20h00 Copa Sudamericana
Racing Club Racing Club
PREDICTION No tip
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
Don't miss this prediction!

Racing Club x Cruzeiro Betting tips for November 23 in Copa Sudamericana

Our betting tip for Racing Club x Cruzeiro, Saturday, 23/11/2024
πŸ“… 23/11/2024
20:00
Racing Club Racing Club
2.70
X
2.90
Cruzeiro Cruzeiro
2.75

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Racing Club x Cruzeiro:

πŸ‘Ž Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Racing Club x Cruzeiro

The main points for the tip for Racing Club x Cruzeiro:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Racing Club in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $216.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Cruzeiro in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-130.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 7 matches as the home team, Racing Club scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ Racing Club is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Racing Club x Cruzeiro?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Racing Club x Cruzeiro:

Analysis from Racing Club x Cruzeiro for the Copa Sudamericana – 23 of November

🏟️ Racing Club X Cruzeiro – Copa Sudamericana
πŸ“… 23 of November, 2024 – 20:00
πŸ”΅ Racing Club – Winning probability: 44.77% | Fair line: 2.23
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 24.29% | Fair line: 4.12
πŸ”΄ Cruzeiro – Winning probability: 30.93% | Fair line: 3.23
βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Racing Club
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Racing Club x Cruzeiro is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1225516 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Racing Club x Cruzeiro

Is it worth betting on Racing Club?

πŸ”΅ Racing Club: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 44.77%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.70. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 450 times – profiting $765.00;
  • And would lose other 550 times – losing -$550.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$215.00 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 24.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $456.00
  • And would have lost other 760 times – with a loss of -$760.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$304.00.

Is betting on Cruzeiro worth it?

πŸ”΄ Cruzeiro: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.93% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.75. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 310 times – this would give you a profit of $542.50
  • And would lose other 690 times – losing -$690.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$147.50.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Racing Club x Cruzeiro

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: 0.0 Racing Club
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Racing Club x Cruzeiro

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 0.0 Racing Club and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Racing Club. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Racing Club x Cruzeiro

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.50 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.00 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.00 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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