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Home » Predictions » France Ligue 1 » Reims x Lyon Betting tips for November 23 in France Ligue 1
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 20h00 France Ligue 1
Reims Reims
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 30% 1 X 2
Lyon Lyon
ODD: @3.56 Don't miss this prediction!

Reims x Lyon Betting tips for November 23 in France Ligue 1

Our betting tip for Reims x Lyon, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
20:00
Reims Reims
2.62
X
3.56
Lyon Lyon
2.46

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Reims x Lyon:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1780.00!

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Important information for your tip for Reims x Lyon:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Reims in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-33.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Lyon in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $218.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Reims scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Lyon scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between Reims x Lyon, with Reims as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Reims conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 road matches, Lyon has not lost any of them.
👉 Reims has not lost any of the last 5 head-to-head matches against Lyon playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Reims x Lyon?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from Reims x Lyon for the France Ligue 1 – 23 of November

🏟️ Reims X Lyon – France Ligue 1
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Reims – Winning probability: 30.21% | Fair line: 3.31
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 30.39% | Fair line: 3.29
🔴 Lyon – Winning probability: 39.41% | Fair line: 2.54
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Reims
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on Reims x Lyon is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225593 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Reims x Lyon

Is it a good idea to bet on Reims?

🔵 Reims: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 30.21% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.62. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – profiting $486.00;
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$214.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 30.39% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.56. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 300 times – this would give you a profit of $768.00
  • And would have lost other 700 times – with a loss of -$700.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$68.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Lyon?

🔴 Lyon: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 39.41% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.46. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 390 times – this would give you a profit of $569.40
  • And would lose other 610 times – losing -$610.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$40.60.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Reims x Lyon

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Reims
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Reims x Lyon

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is +0.25 Reims and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 0.0 Reims.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.0 Lyon.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Reims x Lyon

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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