Botafogo x Vitoria Betting tips for November 23 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Botafogo x Vitoria, Saturday, 23/11/2024

📅 23/11/2024 22:30

Botafogo 1.32

X 4.80

Vitoria 8.95

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Botafogo x Vitoria:

🔮 Botafogo wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Botafogo, you can win up to $660.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Botafogo x Vitoria: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Botafogo in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-229.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Vitoria in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $785.0. 👉 Botafogo did not concede a goal in the last 3 matches as home team. 👉 In the last 6 matches as the away team, Vitoria scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Vitoria, Botafogo scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Botafogo x Vitoria, with Botafogo as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Botafogo is a team that likes ball possession. In its last 5 home matches, it had at least 63.00% of possession. 👉 In the last 3 road matches, Vitoria has not lost any of them. 👉 Botafogo has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Vitoria playing at home.

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Botafogo x Vitoria?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Botafogo x Vitoria:

Analysis from Botafogo x Vitoria for the Brazil Serie A – 23 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Botafogo x Vitoria right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226284 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Botafogo x Vitoria

Is betting on Botafogo worth it?

🔵 Botafogo: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 89.99% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.32. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 900 times – having a profit of $288.00;
• And would lose other 100 times – having a loss of -$100.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$188.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 8.2% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.80. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 80 times – profiting $304.00;
• And would lose other 920 times – having a loss of -$920.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$616.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on Vitoria?

🔴 Vitoria: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.81% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 8.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $159.00
• And would lose other 980 times – losing -$980.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$821.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Botafogo x Vitoria

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Botafogo
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Botafogo x Vitoria

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Botafogo and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.5 Botafogo.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Vitoria.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Botafogo x Vitoria

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.