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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » EC Juventude x Cuiaba Betting tips for November 23 in Brazil Serie A
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 22h30 Brazil Serie A
EC Juventude EC Juventude
PREDICTION EC Juventude wins Probability 71% 1 X 2
Cuiaba Cuiaba
ODD: @1.95 Don't miss this prediction!

EC Juventude x Cuiaba Betting tips for November 23 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for EC Juventude x Cuiaba, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
22:30
EC Juventude EC Juventude
1.95
X
3.25
Cuiaba Cuiaba
3.88

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for EC Juventude x Cuiaba:

🔮 EC Juventude wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on EC Juventude, you can win up to $975.00!

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Important information for your tip for EC Juventude x Cuiaba:

👉 If you had bet $100 on EC Juventude in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $30.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Cuiaba in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Cuiaba did not score any goals in the last 6 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 5 Cuiaba matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 EC Juventude matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the home team, EC Juventude conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, EC Juventude conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Cuiaba.

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Summary

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Analysis from EC Juventude x Cuiaba for the Brazil Serie A – 23 of November

🏟️ EC Juventude X Cuiaba – Brazil Serie A
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 22:30
🔵 EC Juventude – Winning probability: 71.35% | Fair line: 1.4
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.77% | Fair line: 5.33
🔴 Cuiaba – Winning probability: 9.88% | Fair line: 10.12
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 EC Juventude
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on EC Juventude x Cuiaba is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226284 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for EC Juventude x Cuiaba

Should you bet on EC Juventude?

🔵 EC Juventude: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 71.35% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – this would give you a profit of $674.50
  • And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$384.50.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 18.77% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.25. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 190 times – having a profit of $427.50;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$382.50.

Is betting on Cuiaba worth it?

🔴 Cuiaba: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 9.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.88. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $288.00
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$612.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match EC Juventude x Cuiaba

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 EC Juventude
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for EC Juventude x Cuiaba

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 EC Juventude, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 EC Juventude.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 EC Juventude.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for EC Juventude x Cuiaba

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.00 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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