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Home » Predictions » Brazil Serie A » Atletico GO x Palmeiras Betting tips for November 23 in Brazil Serie A
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 22h30 Brazil Serie A
Atletico GO Atletico GO
PREDICTION Palmeiras Wins Probability 90% 1 X 2
Palmeiras Palmeiras
ODD: @1.35 Don't miss this prediction!

Atletico GO x Palmeiras Betting tips for November 23 in Brazil Serie A

Our betting tip for Atletico GO x Palmeiras, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
22:30
Atletico GO Atletico GO
7.81
X
4.60
Palmeiras Palmeiras
1.35

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Atletico GO x Palmeiras:

🔮 Palmeiras wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Palmeiras, you can win up to $675.00!

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The main points for the tip for Atletico GO x Palmeiras:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Atletico GO in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $2.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Palmeiras in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $70.0.
👉 Atletico GO did not concede a goal in the last 4 matches as home team.
👉 In the last 5 Atletico GO matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 3 matches as the away team, Palmeiras conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Atletico GO conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Palmeiras.

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Summary

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Analysis from Atletico GO x Palmeiras for the Brazil Serie A – 23 of November

🏟️ Atletico GO X Palmeiras – Brazil Serie A
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 22:30
🔵 Atletico GO – Winning probability: 4.16% | Fair line: 24.02
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 5.69% | Fair line: 17.57
🔴 Palmeiras – Winning probability: 90.15% | Fair line: 1.11
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Atletico GO
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Atletico GO x Palmeiras right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226284 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Atletico GO x Palmeiras

Should you bet on Atletico GO?

🔵 Atletico GO: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 4.16% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 7.81. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $272.40
  • And would have lost other 960 times – with a loss of -$960.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$687.60.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.69%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 60 times – having a profit of $216.00;
  • And would lose other 940 times – losing -$940.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$724.00.

Is betting on Palmeiras worth it?

🔴 Palmeiras: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 90.15% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.35. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 900 times – this would give you a profit of $315.00
  • And would have lost other 100 times – with a loss of -$100.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$215.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Atletico GO x Palmeiras

Maybe you prefer another approach: betting on Asian handicaps. We thought about it and our model also seeks to find the main handicaps of the most important markets. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.25 Atletico GO
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Atletico GO x Palmeiras

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.25 Atletico GO, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +1.25 Atletico GO.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Atletico GO x Palmeiras

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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