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Home » Predictions » Major League Soccer » New York City FC x New York Red Bulls Betting tips for November 23 in USA MLS Play-Offs
Saturday, 23 November 2024, 22h30 USA MLS Play-Offs
New York City FC New York City FC
PREDICTION New York City FC wins Probability 54% 1 X 2
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
ODD: @2.21 Don't miss this prediction!

New York City FC x New York Red Bulls Betting tips for November 23 in USA MLS Play-Offs

Our betting tip for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls, Saturday, 23/11/2024
📅 23/11/2024
22:30
New York City FC New York City FC
2.21
X
3.50
New York Red Bulls New York Red Bulls
2.94

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls:

🔮 New York City FC wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on New York City FC, you can win up to $1105.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls:

👉 If you had bet $100 on New York City FC in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $44.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on New York Red Bulls in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $203.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, New York City FC scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, New York Red Bulls scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 New York City FC matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, New York City FC conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 New York City FC is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 New York City FC has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against New York Red Bulls playing at home.

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Summary

Looking for another bookie to bet on New York City FC x New York Red Bulls?

If you already have an account on Bet365 or want other options of bookmakers, do not worry! This list below was carefully created taking you into consideration. These are the best betting sites analysed by us in 2024. You just have to click, deposit and bet:

Analysis from New York City FC x New York Red Bulls for the USA MLS Play-Offs – 23 of November

🏟️ New York City FC X New York Red Bulls – USA MLS Play-Offs
📅 23 of November, 2024 – 22:30
🔵 New York City FC – Winning probability: 54.34% | Fair line: 1.84
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 19.34% | Fair line: 5.17
🔴 New York Red Bulls – Winning probability: 26.32% | Fair line: 3.8
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 New York City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on New York City FC x New York Red Bulls is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1225519 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls

Is betting on New York City FC worth it?

🔵 New York City FC: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 54.34%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.21. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 540 times – having a profit of $653.40;
  • And would have lost other 460 times – with a loss of -$460.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$193.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 19.34% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.50. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 190 times – profiting $475.00;
  • And would lose other 810 times – losing -$810.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$335.00.

Is betting on New York Red Bulls worth it?

🔴 New York Red Bulls: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.32% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 2.94. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 260 times – having a profit of $504.40;
  • And would have lost other 740 times – with a loss of -$740.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$235.60.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match New York City FC x New York Red Bulls

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 New York City FC
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 New York City FC and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 New York City FC.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 New York City FC.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for New York City FC x New York Red Bulls

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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