Corinthians x Vasco da Gama Betting tips for November 24 in Brazil Serie A
| 📅 24/11/2024 19:00 |
 Corinthians1.60 |
X 3.75 |
Vasco da Gama  5.50 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Corinthians x Vasco da Gama:
🔮 Corinthians wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Corinthians, you can win up to $800.00!
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Important information for your tip for Corinthians x Vasco da Gama: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Corinthians in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $117.0. |
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Analysis from Corinthians x Vasco da Gama for the Brazil Serie A – 24 of November
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🏟️ Corinthians X Vasco da Gama – Brazil Serie A |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Corinthians and Vasco da Gama.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226364 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the 1×2 market for Corinthians x Vasco da Gama
Is it worth betting on Corinthians?
🔵 Corinthians: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 76.06% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.60. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would hit 760 times – this would give you a profit of $456.00
- And would have lost other 240 times – with a loss of -$240.00 because of them.
That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$216.00.
Is betting on draw worth it?
⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 13.24%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.75. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 130 times – having a profit of $357.50;
- And would lose other 870 times – having a loss of -$870.00 with them.
That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$512.50.
Is it a good idea to bet on Vasco da Gama?
🔴 Vasco da Gama: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.7%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $495.00;
- And would have lost other 890 times – with a loss of -$890.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$395.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Corinthians x Vasco da Gama
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.75 Corinthians
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Corinthians x Vasco da Gama
⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.75 Corinthians, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.75 Corinthians.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Corinthians x Vasco da Gama
⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.
Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.
