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Home » Predictions » Others » Paysandu x Vila Nova Betting tips for November 24 in Brazil Serie B
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 19h00 Brazil Serie B
Paysandu Paysandu
PREDICTION Paysandu wins Probability 93% 1 X 2
Vila Nova Vila Nova
ODD: @1.9 Don't miss this prediction!

Paysandu x Vila Nova Betting tips for November 24 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Paysandu x Vila Nova, Sunday, 24/11/2024
📅 24/11/2024
19:00
Paysandu Paysandu
1.90
X
3.50
Vila Nova Vila Nova
3.96

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Paysandu x Vila Nova:

🔮 Paysandu wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Paysandu, you can win up to $950.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

The main points for the tip for Paysandu x Vila Nova:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Paysandu in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $244.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Paysandu scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Paysandu is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 Paysandu has not lost any of the last 3 head-to-head matches against Vila Nova playing at home.

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Summary

Do you want more options of bookies to bet on Paysandu x Vila Nova?

If you want to take a look at more options of betting websites, we, from the Clube, have listed our favorites for you. Right below you can check the best kenyan betting sites from 2024, carefully analysed by us. Pick yours and start betting now on Paysandu x Vila Nova:

Analysis from Paysandu x Vila Nova for the Brazil Serie B – 24 of November

🏟️ Paysandu X Vila Nova – Brazil Serie B
📅 24 of November, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 Paysandu – Winning probability: 93.83% | Fair line: 1.07
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 4.37% | Fair line: 22.89
🔴 Vila Nova – Winning probability: 1.80% | Fair line: 55.62
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Paysandu
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.50 corner kicks

When the best bet on Paysandu x Vila Nova is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1226364 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Paysandu x Vila Nova

Is betting on Paysandu worth it?

🔵 Paysandu: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 93.83%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.90. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 940 times – this would give you a profit of $846.00
  • And would have lost other 60 times – with a loss of -$60.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$786.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.37%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.50. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 40 times – this would give you a profit of $100.00
  • And would lose other 960 times – losing -$960.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$860.00.

Is betting on Vila Nova worth it?

🔴 Vila Nova: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 1.8% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.96. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – profiting $59.20;
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$920.80.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Paysandu x Vila Nova

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Paysandu
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Paysandu x Vila Nova

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.25 Paysandu and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Paysandu.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.5 Paysandu.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Paysandu x Vila Nova

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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