Nice x Strasbourg Betting tips for November 24 in France Ligue 1
📅 24/11/2024 19:45 |
Nice 1.83 |
X 3.75 |
Strasbourg 4.10 |
Our algorithm has selected this tip for Nice x Strasbourg:
🔮 Nice wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Nice, you can win up to $915.00!
Important information for your tip for Nice x Strasbourg: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Nice in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-140.0. |
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Analysis from Nice x Strasbourg for the France Ligue 1 – 24 of November
🏟️ Nice X Strasbourg – France Ligue 1 |
A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Nice and Strasbourg.
And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226284 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:
Tips for the Match Odds market for Nice x Strasbourg
Should you bet on Nice?
🔵 Nice: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 60.4% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.83. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 600 times – having a profit of $498.00;
- And would lose other 400 times – losing -$400.00 with them.
It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$98.00.
Is it a good idea to bet on draw?
⚪ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 24.34% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.75. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:
- Would have hit 240 times – having a profit of $660.00;
- And would lose other 760 times – losing -$760.00 with them.
We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$100.00.
Is betting on Strasbourg worth it?
🔴 Strasbourg: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 15.27% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 4.10. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:
- Would have hit 150 times – having a profit of $465.00;
- And would have lost other 850 times – with a loss of -$850.00 because of them.
Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$385.00.
Handicaps analysis for the match Nice x Strasbourg
Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..
Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.5 Nice
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Nice x Strasbourg
⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.5 Nice and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.5 Nice.
Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.
Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Nice x Strasbourg
⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.
We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.