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Home » Predictions » Others » Guarani x Ceara Betting tips for November 24 in Brazil Serie B
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 21h30 Brazil Serie B
Guarani Guarani
PREDICTION Guarani wins Probability 26% 1 X 2
Ceara Ceara
ODD: @6.6 Don't miss this prediction!

Guarani x Ceara Betting tips for November 24 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Guarani x Ceara, Sunday, 24/11/2024
📅 24/11/2024
21:30
Guarani Guarani
6.60
X
4.20
Ceara Ceara
1.37

Our algorithm has selected this tip for Guarani x Ceara:

🔮 Guarani wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Guarani, you can win up to $3300.00!

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Some important points for the tip for Guarani x Ceara:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Guarani in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-55.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ceara in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-80.0.
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Ceara conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from Guarani x Ceara for the Brazil Serie B – 24 of November

🏟️ Guarani X Ceara – Brazil Serie B
📅 24 of November, 2024 – 21:30
🔵 Guarani – Winning probability: 26.72% | Fair line: 3.74
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 14.31% | Fair line: 6.99
🔴 Ceara – Winning probability: 58.97% | Fair line: 1.7
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Guarani
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Guarani x Ceara is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1226746 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Guarani x Ceara

Should you bet on Guarani?

🔵 Guarani: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 26.72% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 6.60. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 270 times – profiting $1512.00;
  • And would have lost other 730 times – with a loss of -$730.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$782.00.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 14.31% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 140 times – having a profit of $448.00;
  • And would lose other 860 times – having a loss of -$860.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$412.00.

Is betting on Ceara worth it?

🔴 Ceara: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 58.97% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.37. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 590 times – having a profit of $218.30;
  • And would lose other 410 times – having a loss of -$410.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$191.70.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Guarani x Ceara

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +1.0 Guarani
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Guarani x Ceara

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +1.0 Guarani, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.75 Guarani.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.75 Ceara.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Guarani x Ceara

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.75. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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