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Home » Predictions » Others » America MG x Brusque Betting tips for November 24 in Brazil Serie B
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 21h30 Brazil Serie B
America MG America MG
PREDICTION America MG wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
Brusque Brusque
ODD: @1.43 Don't miss this prediction!

America MG x Brusque Betting tips for November 24 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for America MG x Brusque, Sunday, 24/11/2024
📅 24/11/2024
21:30
America MG America MG
1.43
X
3.90
Brusque Brusque
6.57

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for America MG x Brusque:

🔮 America MG wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on America MG, you can win up to $715.00!

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The main points for the tip for America MG x Brusque:

👉 If you had bet $100 on America MG in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $229.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Brusque in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 Brusque did not score any goals in the last 6 matches as away team.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, America MG scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 6 Brusque matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 America MG matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, America MG conceded at least 1 goal(s).

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Summary

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Analysis from America MG x Brusque for the Brazil Serie B – 24 of November

🏟️ America MG X Brusque – Brazil Serie B
📅 24 of November, 2024 – 21:30
🔵 America MG – Winning probability: 86.07% | Fair line: 1.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.74% | Fair line: 10.27
🔴 Brusque – Winning probability: 4.19% | Fair line: 23.85
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 America MG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

When the best bet on America MG x Brusque is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226746 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for America MG x Brusque

Should you bet on America MG?

🔵 America MG: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 86.07% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.43. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 860 times – this would give you a profit of $369.80
  • And would lose other 140 times – losing -$140.00 with them.

So this is a value bet. After all, at the end of these bets, you would have an expected profit of 💰$229.80.

Is it worth betting on draw?

draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 9.74% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $290.00;
  • And would have lost other 900 times – with a loss of -$900.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$610.00.

Is betting on Brusque worth it?

🔴 Brusque: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 4.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 40 times – having a profit of $222.80;
  • And would lose other 960 times – having a loss of -$960.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$737.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match America MG x Brusque

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 America MG
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for America MG x Brusque

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 America MG, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 America MG.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 America MG.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for America MG x Brusque

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.75, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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