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Home » Predictions » Others » Mirassol x Chapecoense Betting tips for November 24 in Brazil Serie B
Sunday, 24 November 2024, 21h30 Brazil Serie B
Mirassol Mirassol
PREDICTION Mirassol wins Probability 97% 1 X 2
Chapecoense Chapecoense
ODD: @1.38 Don't miss this prediction!

Mirassol x Chapecoense Betting tips for November 24 in Brazil Serie B

Our betting tip for Mirassol x Chapecoense, Sunday, 24/11/2024
📅 24/11/2024
21:30
Mirassol Mirassol
1.38
X
4.20
Chapecoense Chapecoense
8.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Mirassol x Chapecoense:

🔮 Mirassol wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Mirassol, you can win up to $690.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Important information for your tip for Mirassol x Chapecoense:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Mirassol in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $202.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Chapecoense in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-67.0.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Mirassol scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Chapecoense matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 Mirassol is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Mirassol x Chapecoense for the Brazil Serie B – 24 of November

🏟️ Mirassol X Chapecoense – Brazil Serie B
📅 24 of November, 2024 – 21:30
🔵 Mirassol – Winning probability: 97.42% | Fair line: 1.03
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 1.99% | Fair line: 50.15
🔴 Chapecoense – Winning probability: 0.58% | Fair line: 171.98
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Mirassol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.25 corner kicks

When the best bet on Mirassol x Chapecoense is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226746 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Mirassol x Chapecoense

Should you bet on Mirassol?

🔵 Mirassol: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 97.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 970 times – this would give you a profit of $368.60
  • And would have lost other 30 times – with a loss of -$30.00 because of them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$338.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 1.99% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 20 times – this would give you a profit of $64.00
  • And would lose other 980 times – having a loss of -$980.00 with them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$916.00.

Should you bet on Chapecoense?

🔴 Chapecoense: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 0.58%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 8.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 10 times – profiting $70.00;
  • And would have lost other 990 times – with a loss of -$990.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$920.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Mirassol x Chapecoense

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.25 Mirassol
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Mirassol x Chapecoense

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.25 Mirassol, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.0 Mirassol.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.0 Mirassol.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Mirassol x Chapecoense

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.25 goals.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is 0.50. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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