Deportes Tolima x Junior Betting tips for November 25 in Colombia Primera A

Our betting tip for Deportes Tolima x Junior, Monday, 25/11/2024

📅 25/11/2024 00:20

Deportes Tolima 1.82

X 3.20

Junior 4.26

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Deportes Tolima x Junior:

👎 Umm…what a pity! We do not have any positive expected value tips for Deportes Tolima x Junior

Important information for your tip for Deportes Tolima x Junior: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Deportes Tolima in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-67.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Junior in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Junior did not score any goals in the last 3 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team, Deportes Tolima scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 6 Junior matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 Playing as the home team, Deportes Tolima conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Junior.

Do you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Deportes Tolima x Junior?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Deportes Tolima x Junior, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Deportes Tolima x Junior for the Colombia Primera A – 25 of November

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Deportes Tolima x Junior right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

Therefore, to find the numbers, our artificial intelligence has colected information from around 1226364 matches on our betting database, in order to calculate the probabilities of this match ending with a home team victory, a tied match or even an away team victory. Check out the results:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Deportes Tolima x Junior

Is it a good idea to bet on Deportes Tolima?

🔵 Deportes Tolima: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 52.83% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.82. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 530 times – profiting $434.60;
• And would have lost other 470 times – with a loss of -$470.00 because of them.

It is a low stake bet, since after all you would have an final expected profit of just 💰$35.40. Which is not even that worthy considering the risk!

Is betting on draw worth it?

⚪ draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 27.86%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 280 times – profiting $616.00;
• And would have lost other 720 times – with a loss of -$720.00 because of them.

We are talking about a bet without profit, because after all you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$104.00.

Should you bet on Junior?

🔴 Junior: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 19.3%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.26. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 190 times – profiting $619.40;
• And would have lost other 810 times – with a loss of -$810.00 because of them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$190.60.

Handicaps analysis for the match Deportes Tolima x Junior

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

Moving ahead we can see what the model has in store for these markets here:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Deportes Tolima
⚽ Expected goals: 2.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Deportes Tolima x Junior

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -0.25 Deportes Tolima, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.5 Deportes Tolima.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 0.5 Junior.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Deportes Tolima x Junior

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.75 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.25 goals.