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Home » Predictions » Others » Monza U20 x Fiorentina U20 Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Campionato Primavera 1
Monday, 25 November 2024, 13h30 Italy Campionato Primavera 1
Monza U20 Monza U20
PREDICTION Fiorentina U20 Wins Probability 61% 1 X 2
Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20
ODD: @1.91 Don't miss this prediction!

Monza U20 x Fiorentina U20 Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Campionato Primavera 1

Our betting tip for Monza U20 x Fiorentina U20, Monday, 25/11/2024
📅 25/11/2024
13:30
Monza U20 Monza U20
3.20
X
3.74
Fiorentina U20 Fiorentina U20
1.91

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Monza U20 x Fiorentina U20:

🔮 Fiorentina U20 wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Fiorentina U20, you can win up to $955.00!

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The main points for the tip for Monza U20 x Fiorentina U20:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Monza U20 in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $67.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Fiorentina U20 in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a profit of $510.0.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Monza U20 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Fiorentina U20 scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 3 Monza U20 matches as the home team, it finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 9 matches as the home team, Monza U20 conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Fiorentina U20 is hard to beat as a visitor: it has 3 wins in a row in its last road matches.

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Summary

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Analysis from Monza U20 x Fiorentina U20 for the Italy Campionato Primavera 1 – 25 of November

🏟️ Monza U20 X Fiorentina U20 – Italy Campionato Primavera 1
📅 25 of November, 2024 – 13:30
🔵 Monza U20 – Winning probability: 27.14% | Fair line: 3.69
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 11.45% | Fair line: 8.73
🔴 Fiorentina U20 – Winning probability: 61.42% | Fair line: 1.63
⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Monza U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Monza U20 x Fiorentina U20 right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1226828 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Monza U20 x Fiorentina U20

Is betting on Monza U20 worth it?

🔵 Monza U20: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 27.14% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.20. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 270 times – having a profit of $594.00;
  • And would lose other 730 times – having a loss of -$730.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$136.00.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.45%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.74. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 110 times – having a profit of $301.40;
  • And would lose other 890 times – having a loss of -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$588.60.

Is it a good idea to bet on Fiorentina U20?

🔴 Fiorentina U20: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 61.42%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 1.91. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 610 times – this would give you a profit of $555.10
  • And would lose other 390 times – losing -$390.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$165.10.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Monza U20 x Fiorentina U20

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

This is what our nice robot has to tell us about these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: +0.25 Monza U20
⚽ Expected goals: 3.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Monza U20 x Fiorentina U20

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be +0.25 Monza U20, and the current handicap offered by bookies is +0.5 Monza U20.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: +0.5 Monza U20.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Monza U20 x Fiorentina U20

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 3.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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