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Home » Predictions » Trabzonspor x Adana Demirspor Betting tips for November 25 in Turkey Super Lig
Monday, 25 November 2024, 17h00 Turkey Super Lig
Trabzonspor Trabzonspor
PREDICTION Trabzonspor wins Probability 84% 1 X 2
Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor
ODD: @1.38 Don't miss this prediction!

Trabzonspor x Adana Demirspor Betting tips for November 25 in Turkey Super Lig

Our betting tip for Trabzonspor x Adana Demirspor, Monday, 25/11/2024
📅 25/11/2024
17:00
Trabzonspor Trabzonspor
1.38
X
4.95
Adana Demirspor Adana Demirspor
6.50

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Trabzonspor x Adana Demirspor:

🔮 Trabzonspor wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Trabzonspor, you can win up to $690.00!

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The main points for the tip for Trabzonspor x Adana Demirspor:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Trabzonspor in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-117.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Adana Demirspor in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, Trabzonspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 4 matches as the home team against Adana Demirspor, Trabzonspor scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Trabzonspor has not lost any of the last 4 head-to-head matches against Adana Demirspor playing at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Trabzonspor x Adana Demirspor for the Turkey Super Lig – 25 of November

🏟️ Trabzonspor X Adana Demirspor – Turkey Super Lig
📅 25 of November, 2024 – 17:00
🔵 Trabzonspor – Winning probability: 84.70% | Fair line: 1.18
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 10.01% | Fair line: 9.99
🔴 Adana Demirspor – Winning probability: 5.29% | Fair line: 18.91
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Trabzonspor
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Trabzonspor x Adana Demirspor right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1226284 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Trabzonspor x Adana Demirspor

Is betting on Trabzonspor worth it?

🔵 Trabzonspor: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 84.7% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 1.38. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 850 times – having a profit of $323.00;
  • And would lose other 150 times – losing -$150.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$173.00.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.01%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.95. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 100 times – having a profit of $395.00;
  • And would lose other 900 times – having a loss of -$900.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$505.00.

Should you bet on Adana Demirspor?

🔴 Adana Demirspor: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 5.29%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.50. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $275.00;
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$675.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Trabzonspor x Adana Demirspor

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Trabzonspor
⚽ Expected goals: 3.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Trabzonspor x Adana Demirspor

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Trabzonspor, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.5 Trabzonspor.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.50, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: 1.5 Adana Demirspor.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Trabzonspor x Adana Demirspor

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 3.25 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 3.25 goals.

Since there is not big differences between the handicap offered by bookies and the one suggested by our algorithm, we can consider that there is no value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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