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Home » Predictions » Others » FC Volendam x Ajax Reserves Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie
Monday, 25 November 2024, 19h00 Netherlands Eerste Divisie
FC Volendam FC Volendam
PREDICTION FC Volendam wins Probability 80% 1 X 2
Ajax Reserves Ajax Reserves
ODD: @1.44 Don't miss this prediction!

FC Volendam x Ajax Reserves Betting tips for November 25 in Netherlands Eerste Divisie

Our betting tip for FC Volendam x Ajax Reserves, Monday, 25/11/2024
📅 25/11/2024
19:00
FC Volendam FC Volendam
1.44
X
4.95
Ajax Reserves Ajax Reserves
5.39

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for FC Volendam x Ajax Reserves:

🔮 FC Volendam wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on FC Volendam, you can win up to $720.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for FC Volendam x Ajax Reserves:

👉 If you had bet $100 on FC Volendam in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $156.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Ajax Reserves in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-140.0.
👉 In the last 6 matches as the home team, FC Volendam scored at least 2 goal(s).
👉 In the last 7 matches as the away team, Ajax Reserves scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Ajax Reserves, FC Volendam scored at least 3 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 head-to-head matches between FC Volendam x Ajax Reserves, with FC Volendam as the home team, they finished over 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Ajax Reserves conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, FC Volendam conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 3 head-to-head against Ajax Reserves.
👉 FC Volendam is good playing home: it has 3 wins in a row in its last matches at home.
👉 FC Volendam has won all the last 5 matches playing at home against Ajax Reserves.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on FC Volendam x Ajax Reserves?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on FC Volendam x Ajax Reserves, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from FC Volendam x Ajax Reserves for the Netherlands Eerste Divisie – 25 of November

🏟️ FC Volendam X Ajax Reserves – Netherlands Eerste Divisie
📅 25 of November, 2024 – 19:00
🔵 FC Volendam – Winning probability: 80.63% | Fair line: 1.24
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 9.19% | Fair line: 10.88
🔴 Ajax Reserves – Winning probability: 10.18% | Fair line: 9.82
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 FC Volendam
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 10.75 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for FC Volendam x Ajax Reserves right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1227805 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for FC Volendam x Ajax Reserves

Is betting on FC Volendam worth it?

🔵 FC Volendam: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 80.63% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.44. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 810 times – having a profit of $356.40;
  • And would have lost other 190 times – with a loss of -$190.00 because of them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$166.40.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 9.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 4.95. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – this would give you a profit of $355.50
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

That is why this bet does not have value. In the end, you would have had a final loss of 💰-$554.50.

Is it worth betting on Ajax Reserves?

🔴 Ajax Reserves: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 10.18%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 5.39. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 100 times – this would give you a profit of $439.00
  • And would lose other 900 times – losing -$900.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$461.00.

Place your Bet with Bet365 Bonus

Handicaps analysis for the match FC Volendam x Ajax Reserves

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.5 FC Volendam
⚽ Expected goals: 3.75 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for FC Volendam x Ajax Reserves

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.5 FC Volendam, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -1.25 FC Volendam.

We can notice that the difference between the handicap predicted by the model and the one available to bet at the bookmaker is -0.25. Therefore, the recommended bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -1.25 FC Volendam.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for FC Volendam x Ajax Reserves

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.75 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 3.75 goals. As the handicap available on the market is the same as that indicated by our robot, we will do nothing since there is not value bets on the Goals Handicap market.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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