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Home » Predictions » Others » Lucchese x Pontedera Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie C Group B
Monday, 25 November 2024, 19h30 Italy Serie C Group B
Lucchese Lucchese
PREDICTION Draw Match Probability 39% 1 X 2
Pontedera Pontedera
ODD: @3 Don't miss this prediction!

Lucchese x Pontedera Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Lucchese x Pontedera, Monday, 25/11/2024
📅 25/11/2024
19:30
Lucchese Lucchese
2.17
X
3.00
Pontedera Pontedera
3.24

This is the bet made by our artificial intelligence for Lucchese x Pontedera:

🔮 Lucchese wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Lucchese, you can win up to $1085.00!

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1500.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Lucchese x Pontedera:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Lucchese in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 If you had bet $100 on Pontedera in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-110.0.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, Pontedera scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against Pontedera, Lucchese scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Lucchese conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 4 head-to-head against Pontedera.

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Summary

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Analysis from Lucchese x Pontedera for the Italy Serie C Group B – 25 of November

🏟️ Lucchese X Pontedera – Italy Serie C Group B
📅 25 of November, 2024 – 19:30
🔵 Lucchese – Winning probability: 47.84% | Fair line: 2.09
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 39.87% | Fair line: 2.51
🔴 Pontedera – Winning probability: 12.29% | Fair line: 8.14
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Lucchese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 8.75 corner kicks

When the best bet on Lucchese x Pontedera is analysed, notice that our AI model is not interested in getting the right result, but instead in looking for situations where the bookies offer us a positive expected value.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1227805 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Lucchese x Pontedera

Is betting on Lucchese worth it?

🔵 Lucchese: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 47.84% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 2.17. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 480 times – this would give you a profit of $561.60
  • And would lose other 520 times – losing -$520.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$41.60.

Is betting on draw worth it?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 39.87% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.00. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would have hit 400 times – having a profit of $800.00;
  • And would lose other 600 times – having a loss of -$600.00 with them.

It is a value bet, since after all you would have an expected final profit of 💰$200.00.

Is it worth betting on Pontedera?

🔴 Pontedera: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 12.29% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.24. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 120 times – this would give you a profit of $268.80
  • And would lose other 880 times – having a loss of -$880.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$611.20.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Lucchese x Pontedera

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Lucchese
⚽ Expected goals: 2.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Lucchese x Pontedera

⚖ Handicap 1×2: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be -1.0 Lucchese, and the current handicap offered by bookies is -0.25 Lucchese.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.75, this means that the best bet for the Handicap 1×2 is on: -0.25 Lucchese.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Lucchese x Pontedera

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.00 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.25 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.25 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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