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Home Β» Predictions Β» Others Β» Pescara x Asd Pineto Calcio Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie C Group B
Monday, 25 November 2024, 19h30 Italy Serie C Group B
Pescara Pescara
PREDICTION No tip
Asd Pineto Calcio Asd Pineto Calcio
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Pescara x Asd Pineto Calcio Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie C Group B

Our betting tip for Pescara x Asd Pineto Calcio, Monday, 25/11/2024
πŸ“… 25/11/2024
19:30
Pescara Pescara
1.45
X
3.90
Asd Pineto Calcio Asd Pineto Calcio
6.00

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Pescara x Asd Pineto Calcio:

πŸ‘Ž Unfortunately, we do not have any positive expected value tips for Pescara x Asd Pineto Calcio

The main points for the tip for Pescara x Asd Pineto Calcio:

πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on Pescara in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $71.0.
πŸ‘‰ If you had bet $100 on ASD Pineto Calcio in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-120.0.
πŸ‘‰ In the last 4 matches as the home team, Pescara scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 5 matches as the away team, ASD Pineto Calcio scored at least 1 goal(s).
πŸ‘‰ In the last 3 head-to-head matches between Pescara x ASD Pineto Calcio, with Pescara as the home team, they finished under 2.5 goals.
πŸ‘‰ Pescara is good playing home: it has 4 wins in a row in its last matches at home.

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Summary

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Analysis from Pescara x Asd Pineto Calcio for the Italy Serie C Group B – 25 of November

🏟️ Pescara X Asd Pineto Calcio – Italy Serie C Group B
πŸ“… 25 of November, 2024 – 19:30
πŸ”΅ Pescara – Winning probability: 70.55% | Fair line: 1.42
βšͺ Tied game – Probability of tied match: 18.26% | Fair line: 5.48
πŸ”΄ Asd Pineto Calcio – Winning probability: 11.19% | Fair line: 8.94
βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Pescara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals
β›³ Expected corner kicks: 9.00 corner kicks

Even though it may not seem intuitive, a good betting model should not seek to get the result for Pescara x Asd Pineto Calcio right, but instead show us in which events we have a positive expected value opportunity.

To achieve that, the algorithm analyses more than 1227805 matches from our database seeking for patterns to get to the winning probabilities for the home team, a tie or a victory for the away team. That was the conclusion from our artificial intelligence:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Pescara x Asd Pineto Calcio

Is betting on Pescara worth it?

πŸ”΅ Pescara: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 70.55% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.45. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 710 times – profiting $319.50;
  • And would lose other 290 times – losing -$290.00 with them.

Even if it is a positive expected value bet, the expected profit is just πŸ’°$29.50 which is not worth the risk in our opinion.

Is it a good idea to bet on draw?

βšͺ draw: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 18.26% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 3.90. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 180 times – profiting $522.00;
  • And would lose other 820 times – losing -$820.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of πŸ’°-$298.00.

Should you bet on Asd Pineto Calcio?

πŸ”΄ Asd Pineto Calcio: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 11.19%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 6.00. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 110 times – this would give you a profit of $550.00
  • And would lose other 890 times – losing -$890.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of πŸ’°-$340.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Pescara x Asd Pineto Calcio

Another important market to analyse is the Asian handicaps one, our algorithm is also going to help you with that. If you have no idea what a handicap is, do not worry! We have a complete article about the Asian handicap on sporting betting that will answer all your questions. You can click on it and leave it open on another tab so you can read later.

These are the handicaps that our algorithm analysed for you:

βš– Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Pescara
⚽ Expected goals: 2.25 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Pescara x Asd Pineto Calcio

βš– Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Pescara and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Pescara.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Pescara x Asd Pineto Calcio

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 2.25 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.50 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is -0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: – 2.50 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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