Venezia x Lecce Betting tips for November 25 in Italy Serie A

Our betting tip for Venezia x Lecce, Monday, 25/11/2024

📅 25/11/2024 19:45

Venezia 2.30

X 3.29

Lecce 3.10

This is the bet from our artificial intelligence for Venezia x Lecce:

🔮 Tied Match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on a tie, you can win up to $1645.00!

Make this bet on Bet365 now!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com 

Some important points for the tip for Venezia x Lecce: 👉 If you had bet $100 on Venezia in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $62.0. 👉 If you had bet $100 on Lecce in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500. 👉 Lecce did not score any goals in the last 6 matches as away team. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team against Lecce, Venezia scored at least 1 goal(s). 👉 In the last 3 Lecce matches as the away team, it finished under 2.5 goals. 👉 In the last 3 matches as the home team, Venezia conceded at least 2 goal(s). 👉 In the last 4 matches as the away team, Lecce conceded at least 1 goal(s). 👉 It is not a good time for Lecce as away team: it comes from 4 losses in a row in its last away matches.

Do you want other suggestions of bookmakers to bet on Venezia x Lecce?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Venezia x Lecce, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Venezia x Lecce for the Italy Serie A – 25 of November

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Venezia and Lecce.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226284 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the 1×2 market for Venezia x Lecce

Should you bet on Venezia?

🔵 Venezia: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 42.92%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 2.30. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 430 times – profiting $559.00;
• And would lose other 570 times – losing -$570.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$11.00.

Is it worth betting on draw?

⚪ draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 33.43% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 3.29. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

• Would have hit 330 times – having a profit of $755.70;
• And would lose other 670 times – losing -$670.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, this is a value bet because you would have an expected final profit of 💰$85.70.

Should you bet on Lecce?

🔴 Lecce: our artificial intelligence has calculated that the probability of this event happening is around 23.65%, meanwhile the bookies are offering avarage odds of 3.10. This means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

• Would hit 240 times – this would give you a profit of $504.00
• And would lose other 760 times – having a loss of -$760.00 with them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$256.00.

Handicaps analysis for the match Venezia x Lecce

Another approach is trying to find the fair handicap for the main markets and our machine learning model will also give you a helping hand with that. Maybe you do not even know what this is. If handicap is a 7-headed monster for you, all you have to do is click on our article about Asian handicap on football betting and you will find a complete material to quickly teach you how it works. Click on it and leave it open on another tab to read later..

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -0.25 Venezia
⚽ Expected goals: 2.50 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Venezia x Lecce

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -0.25 Venezia and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -0.25 Venezia.

Since the handicap offered by bookmakers is the same as the one we got with our model, there is not any value bets on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Venezia x Lecce

⚽ Goals Handicap: considering the estimates of our model, the main handicap should be 2.50 goals, and the current handicap offered by bookies is 2.50 goals.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Goals Handicap market.