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Home » Predictions » Newcastle x West Ham Betting tips for November 25 in England Premier League
Monday, 25 November 2024, 20h00 England Premier League
Newcastle Newcastle
PREDICTION Newcastle wins Probability 86% 1 X 2
West Ham West Ham
ODD: @1.57 Don't miss this prediction!

Newcastle x West Ham Betting tips for November 25 in England Premier League

Our betting tip for Newcastle x West Ham, Monday, 25/11/2024
📅 25/11/2024
20:00
Newcastle Newcastle
1.57
X
4.20
West Ham West Ham
5.04

This is the tip that our machine learning model has selected for Newcastle x West Ham:

🔮 Newcastle wins the match
💰 When you bet the bonus of $500 from Bet365 on Newcastle, you can win up to $785.00!

Or access: https://www.bet365.com
 

Some important points for the tip for Newcastle x West Ham:

👉 If you had bet $100 on Newcastle in each of its last 5 matches as home, you would have had a profit of $232.0.
👉 If you had bet $100 on West Ham in each of its last 5 matches as away, you would have had a loss of $-500.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the home team against West Ham, Newcastle scored at least 1 goal(s).
👉 In the last 5 Newcastle matches as the home team, it finished under 2.5 goals.
👉 In the last 5 matches as the away team, West Ham conceded at least 1 goal(s).
👉 Playing as the home team, Newcastle conceded at least 1 goal(s) in all the last 5 head-to-head against West Ham.

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Summary

Looking for more options of bookmakers for your bet on Newcastle x West Ham?

If you want other options of bookmakers to bet on Newcastle x West Ham, no problem. Right below you have the sports betting sites that we used the most in 2024. You will be in good hands on any of them, just pick your favorite and start betting:

Analysis from Newcastle x West Ham for the England Premier League – 25 of November

🏟️ Newcastle X West Ham – England Premier League
📅 25 of November, 2024 – 20:00
🔵 Newcastle – Winning probability: 86.10% | Fair line: 1.16
Tied game – Probability of tied match: 8.88% | Fair line: 11.26
🔴 West Ham – Winning probability: 5.02% | Fair line: 19.93
⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals
⛳ Expected corner kicks: 9.75 corner kicks

A good bettor is not the one with a high hits percentage, but the one who bets on positive expected value events. Our AI model knows it very well and has looked for these opportunities for the match between Newcastle and West Ham.

And to do so, the algorithm analysed more than 1226284 matches on our football database looking for patterns to find the probabilities of the match ending with a victory for the home team, a tie or even a victory for the away team. Getting down to these values:

Tips for the Match Odds market for Newcastle x West Ham

Is it a good idea to bet on Newcastle?

🔵 Newcastle: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 86.1% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 1.57. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would have hit 860 times – having a profit of $490.20;
  • And would lose other 140 times – having a loss of -$140.00 with them.

That is why this is a value bet. In the end, you would have had a final profit of 💰$350.20.

Should you bet on draw?

draw: the algorithm believes the chances of this event happening are 8.88% and we have noticed that the avarage odds offered by the bookmakers are 4.20. In other words, this means that if you made 1000 bets of $1 like this, you:

  • Would hit 90 times – profiting $288.00;
  • And would lose other 910 times – losing -$910.00 with them.

So this bet does not have value. After all, you would have an expected loss of 💰-$622.00.

Is betting on West Ham worth it?

🔴 West Ham: the model predicted that the probability of this event happening is 5.02% and we know that avarage odds offered by the bookies are 5.04. That is, when you make 1000 bets of $1 like this one, you:

  • Would hit 50 times – profiting $202.00;
  • And would have lost other 950 times – with a loss of -$950.00 because of them.

Mathematically speaking, it is a negative expected value bet, because you would have an expected final loss of 💰-$748.00.

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Handicaps analysis for the match Newcastle x West Ham

The handicap market is also very searched for by bettors in professional bookmakers and our model can help you with that. In case you do not know what handicaps are, we will solve this problem now: we sorted out the material about Asian handicap on betting so you can click and save it to learn about it on the first opportunity.

Take a look at what our artificial intelligence has set apart for these markets:

⚖ Handicap 1×2: -1.0 Newcastle
⚽ Expected goals: 3.00 goals

Tips for the Handicap 1×2 market for Newcastle x West Ham

⚖ Handicap 1×2: our model believes that the ideal handicap is -1.0 Newcastle and the available handicap to bet at the moment is -1.0 Newcastle.

The handicap that our algorithm found is the same as the bookies, which means that there is not any value to bet on the Handicap 1×2 market.

Tips for the Goals Handicap market for Newcastle x West Ham

⚽ Goals Handicap: our model believes that the ideal handicap is 3.00 goals and the available handicap to bet at the moment is 2.75 goals.

Since the difference between the handicap we calculated and the offered by the bookie is 0.25, this means that the best bet for the Goals Handicap is on: + 2.75 goals.

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Written by

Autor
Humberto Alves

Hi there! You can call me Beto! I'm 32 years old, graduated in Business Management and now I'm doing my second degree in Statistics and Data Science, which is really helpful to bring the Machine Learning models applied in sports betting that you see here. Even though I'm in this betting world since 2010, there's still a lot to be learned.

> Check other content created by Humberto Alves
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